STREAMING NOW: Watch Now

Kevin's Winter Weather Forecast

Here's a look at the 2019-2020 winter season.

Posted: Nov 26, 2019 6:29 PM
Updated: Nov 26, 2019 6:36 PM

TERRE HAUTE, Ind. (WTHI) - Some people believe weather predictions can be made by observing trees and plants, the behavior of animals, astronomical positions and other natural signs.

I’m one of those people.

Each year for my winter forecast, I throw out the computer models and other scientific methods and base my forecast on these natural signs.

It’s the same way our ancestors predicted their winters, and it’s a method that was passed down to me by my grandmother.

I try to get more specific in my forecast than you will find in a normal winter forecast.

I try to suggest dates when snow may fall or when very cold air could arrive.

So, after looking at things like squirrels’ tails, lingering tree leaves, persimmon seeds, late-blooming flowers and more, here’s how I believe this winter will shape up.

This winter will be colder than average with above-average precipitation. Snowfall will be a little above average and we could have an ice event.

DECEMBER

The month of December will begin with average temperatures, but turn colder for the last third of the month. Precipitation will be about average with occasional showers around the 5th to the 8th. Another chance of showers will develop around the 18th to the 20th. Then colder air moves in, and with it, a chance of snow around the 23rd to the 26th. This could set the stage for a possible white Christmas. The month will end sunny, but cold.

JANUARY

January’s temperatures will be below average and the precipitation will be above average. It will be a cold start to the New Year, but mostly peaceful. You’ll want to keep an eye on the 8th to the 12th when conditions could become unsettled and breezy. Rain will change to snow, followed by another surge of colder air from about the 13th to the 16th. From the 17th to the 23rd, we’ll get a slight warm-up with a chance of rain, then a period of freezing rain followed by accumulating snow. This could be one of the more interesting periods of the entire winter. A stretch of calm, very cold weather will follow. With another chance of snow around the 26th.

FEBRUARY

Temperatures in the month of February will be below average and precipitation will be above average. The month begins calm and sunny and it’s likely the groundhog will see his shadow, which fits in with all the other signs this winter. We might expect the winter to last well into March. Around the 6th to the 10th, look for another accumulating snow. There’s a possibility this period could also be windy, then colder. Look for a brief spell of warmer weather around the 15th with a chance of showers. The month will end with another chance of accumulating snow and colder.

This year is a Leap Year, so let’s go for a sunny, peaceful February 29th. I have a feeling that, by then, we’ll be hoping for a break from winter.

RECAP

So, let me sum up for you what the signs are indicating for this winter.

Temperatures will be below average and precipitation will be above average. We could have at least six good, accumulating snows…one of which could provide a white Christmas. Average snowfall around here is around 18 inches, and it looks like we could be very close to that, maybe even a little above.

There is the chance of an ice event in the second half of January.

This winter will also have periods of wind and cold, with temperatures dropping below zero on at least two days.

I’ve put all of this together based on the signs I’ve observed from nature.

I do my forecast this way to show how everything on earth is connected, and to show how the old methods might be just as good as the ones being used today.

Terre Haute
Few Clouds
65° wxIcon
Hi: 88° Lo: 68°
Feels Like: 65°
Robinson
Scattered Clouds
67° wxIcon
Hi: 86° Lo: 66°
Feels Like: 67°
Indianapolis
Few Clouds
70° wxIcon
Hi: 87° Lo: 68°
Feels Like: 70°
Rockville
Clear
65° wxIcon
Hi: 87° Lo: 68°
Feels Like: 65°
Casey
Clear
66° wxIcon
Hi: 86° Lo: 65°
Feels Like: 66°
Brazil
Few Clouds
65° wxIcon
Hi: 87° Lo: 68°
Feels Like: 65°
Marshall
Few Clouds
65° wxIcon
Hi: 87° Lo: 66°
Feels Like: 65°
Mostly sunny with a low chance of storms tonight.
WTHI Planner
WTHI Temps
WTHI Radar

WTHI Events

 

Illinois Coronavirus Cases

(Widget updates once daily at 7 p.m. CT)

Confirmed Cases: 204023

Reported Deaths: 7932
CountyConfirmedDeaths
Cook1147244951
Lake13144450
DuPage12693525
Kane10100305
Will9692348
St. Clair4289162
Winnebago3835134
McHenry3335114
Madison296985
Kankakee185769
Rock Island183138
Peoria180737
Champaign173719
Kendall144323
Sangamon139135
Unassigned1381211
DeKalb97032
LaSalle91028
Boone76823
Jackson75520
McLean73015
Macon72123
Tazewell6539
Adams6077
Coles56421
Williamson4997
Randolph4977
Clinton45417
Ogle4295
Whiteside38417
Grundy3685
Morgan3539
Knox3441
Stephenson3406
Monroe33913
Union33923
Jefferson32020
Iroquois27613
Henry2741
Bureau2624
Vermilion2592
Cass25211
Franklin2221
Macoupin2223
Effingham2081
Warren1960
Perry1933
Lee1911
Logan1871
Montgomery1797
Marion1720
Woodford1713
McDonough14915
Christian1464
Jersey1432
Livingston1403
Jo Daviess1391
Saline1362
Douglas1353
Moultrie1030
Pulaski1011
Shelby942
Clark912
White800
Hancock761
Johnson760
Mercer764
Fayette733
Carroll724
Wayne722
Bond693
Greene690
Washington691
Piatt660
Cumberland613
Jasper617
Mason600
Menard600
Ford572
Lawrence550
Gallatin512
Wabash490
Massac430
Fulton420
De Witt390
Alexander370
Crawford350
Marshall350
Edgar340
Hamilton330
Clay320
Pike320
Scott320
Edwards240
Richland240
Henderson210
Hardin180
Schuyler180
Brown150
Putnam130
Calhoun120
Pope110
Stark70
Out of IL10

Indiana Coronavirus Cases

(Widget updates once daily at 8 p.m. ET)

Confirmed Cases: 78632

Reported Deaths: 3113
CountyConfirmedDeaths
Marion16437734
Lake7952283
Elkhart505191
Allen4161164
St. Joseph376683
Hamilton3033104
Vanderburgh212215
Hendricks1978109
Johnson1819119
Cass18139
Porter141539
Clark135250
Tippecanoe129312
Madison106266
LaPorte96730
Howard94865
Kosciusko87812
Bartholomew86747
Floyd86150
Marshall80523
Monroe78432
Vigo77913
Delaware77752
Dubois72912
Noble71729
Boone71646
Hancock70239
Warrick61230
Jackson6075
Shelby57328
LaGrange57110
Grant53330
Dearborn52828
Morgan50135
Henry46720
Clinton4624
Wayne41010
White38411
Montgomery36721
Harrison36524
Lawrence35927
Decatur35332
Putnam3318
Daviess29620
Scott28110
Miami2792
Jasper2662
Greene25934
Franklin25116
Gibson2464
DeKalb2444
Jennings23312
Ripley2218
Steuben2173
Carroll2135
Fayette2097
Perry18913
Orange18824
Posey1840
Starke1817
Wabash1805
Wells1802
Fulton1752
Jefferson1752
Knox1711
Sullivan1631
Whitley1626
Tipton15516
Washington1531
Clay1505
Spencer1403
Randolph1345
Huntington1303
Adams1242
Newton12110
Owen1131
Rush1004
Jay970
Pulaski841
Brown762
Fountain762
Pike670
Blackford662
Benton640
Ohio636
Vermillion620
Switzerland590
Parke581
Martin530
Crawford500
Union420
Warren251
Unassigned0207