SEVERE WX : Winter Weather Advisory View Alerts
CLOSINGS: View Closings

CNN Poll: Biden continues to lead crowded Democratic field

CNN's Leyla Santiago reports.

Posted: Jun 4, 2019 8:49 AM


Former Vice President Joe Biden continues to be the top pick for the Democratic nomination for president among Democrats and Democratic-leaning registered voters, according to a new CNN poll conducted by SSRS, but his support has faded some since just after the official launch of his campaign.

That shift comes as more potential Democratic primary voters say they have made up their minds about whom to support (44% say so, up 8 points since April), even before the top 20 candidates take the stage for the first formal debates of this cycle, set for later this month.

The poll finds 32% support Biden, down from 39% saying they supported him in an April CNN poll. That survey was fielded in the days immediately following Biden's formal entry into the race. Since then, the former vice president has been running with an eye toward protecting his early advantages, making fewer public appearances than his fellow candidates even as they begin to turn their fire on him.

But none of the other candidates have shown notable gains in the last month. Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders continues to stand alone in second place with 18%, followed by California Sen. Kamala Harris with 8%, 7% for Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren and 5% each for South Bend, Indiana, Mayor Pete Buttigieg and former Texas congressman Beto O'Rourke. New Jersey Sen. Cory Booker comes in with 3% support, with former Secretary of Housing and Urban Development Julián Castro and Minnesota Sen. Amy Klobuchar at 2% each. The remaining 14 candidates tested in the poll landed at 1% or less.

RELATED: Full poll results

The poll suggests Biden and Sanders are reaping the benefits of being better known by locking in their supporters early. Among those who say they have made up their minds, Biden's support rises to 43%, Sanders climbs to 29%.

Both also have overwhelmingly positive favorability ratings among potential Democratic voters. About three-quarters say they have a positive view of each (77% for Biden and 76% for Sanders), well ahead of their closest competitors for the nomination (Harris is viewed positively by 52% of Democratic-leaning voters, Warren 63%).

Among all Americans, however, Biden fares better than Sanders. The former Delaware senator earns a significantly positive favorability rating nationally (46% favorable to 38% unfavorable). Views on Sanders are almost evenly divided, and tilt positive by just two points (46% favorable to 44% unfavorable).

Favorability numbers for three other top competitors also lag behind Biden's ratings. Buttigieg remains mostly unknown nationwide (59% have no opinion or haven't heard of him), while Harris and Warren each earn more negative reviews than positive ones.

The 2016 presidential election was the first in the era of modern polling to feature two candidates with net-negative favorability ratings. Exit polling indicated that President Donald Trump was able to capitalize on Clinton's negative numbers by winning a larger share of those voters who held negative opinions of both.

With the exception of Biden and Buttigieg, each of the remaining six Democratic candidates tested in the poll is viewed more negatively by Republicans than they are positively by Democrats. The situation is particularly dire for one recent entrant to the race, New York City Mayor Bill de Blasio: 49% of Republicans view him negatively while just 18% of Democrats see him positively. Among independents, Biden is the only tested candidate who tilts net positive.

Within the pool of potential Democratic primary voters, many of the basic demographic divides that have defined the contest thus far remain. Independents, younger voters, and liberal voters continue to be more apt to support Sanders than are self-identified Democrats, older voters and those who are more moderate or conservative.

The divide by race appears to have softened compared with April's survey: Biden leads in both groups, but his support is roughly the same among whites and non-whites. Democratic voters who hold college degrees are more likely to consider candidates other than Biden and Sanders. And there are still no significant differences between men and women in whom they support at this point.

And heading into 2020 with an unprecedentedly large field, Democratic-leaning voters are more apt to see that long list of choices as an asset (53%) than a bad thing (45%) for the party.

Regardless of who winds up leading the Democratic ticket in 2020, voters overwhelmingly say it's a better approach for that candidate to focus on bringing Democrats together around his or her policy positions (81% say so) than around dissatisfaction with Trump (15% say so).

Colorado Sen. Michael Bennet hits 1% in this poll, his third such poll this cycle among those which the DNC is using to assess qualification for the upcoming debates, making him the 20th candidate to reach those standards. Candidates tested in this poll who have not yet met the threshold include Montana Gov. Steve Bullock (he has hit 1% in two polls so far), Miramar, Florida, Mayor Wayne Messam (1% in one poll) and Massachusetts Rep. Seth Moulton (has not hit 1% in any polls). If any of those candidates hit at least 1% in enough qualifying polls before the qualification deadline, tiebreakers will determine which 20 candidates make the debate stage.

The CNN Poll was conducted by SSRS May 28 through 31 among a random national sample of 1,006 adults reached on landlines or cellphones by a live interviewer. Results for the full sample have a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 3.8 percentage points. For the subsample of 412 Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents who are registered to vote, it is 6.0 points.

Terre Haute
Cloudy
30° wxIcon
Hi: 30° Lo: 29°
Feels Like: 22°
Robinson
Cloudy
30° wxIcon
Hi: 31° Lo: 29°
Feels Like: 21°
Indianapolis/Eagle Creek
Cloudy
29° wxIcon
Hi: 30° Lo: 29°
Feels Like: °
Paris
Cloudy
28° wxIcon
Hi: 30° Lo: 27°
Feels Like: 20°
Mattoon/Charleston
Cloudy
29° wxIcon
Hi: 29° Lo: 29°
Feels Like: 15°
Terre Haute
Cloudy
30° wxIcon
Hi: 31° Lo: 28°
Feels Like: 22°
Terre Haute
Cloudy
30° wxIcon
Hi: 30° Lo: 28°
Feels Like: 22°
Afternoon Snowfall
WTHI Planner
WTHI Temps
WTHI Radar

Latest Video

Image

AT&T upgrades service in Greene County

Image

January is National Mentor Month

Image

This week is school choice week

Image

Brazil Mayor Wyndham gives state of the city address

Image

Graduation rates on the rise in Vigo County

Image

Isolated wetlands at risk with new Senate Bill

Image

Wednesday: Partly sunny early, snow showers. High: 31

Image

MBB SIU vs ISU

Image

West Vigo vs Terre Haute North Boys Bball

Image

Lease agreement approved to turn former Sears into vaccination site

WTHI Events

 

Illinois Coronavirus Cases

(Widget updates once daily at 7 p.m. CT)

Cases: 1108430

Reported Deaths: 20853
CountyCasesDeaths
Cook4472959280
DuPage713231179
Will60159896
Lake55096932
Kane47475713
Winnebago26895421
Madison25542487
St. Clair23211457
McHenry22372260
Champaign16003107
Peoria15571256
Sangamon14996247
McLean13653174
Tazewell12393254
Rock Island12252310
Kankakee11760188
Kendall1008783
LaSalle9834250
Macon9023183
Vermilion7842118
DeKalb770696
Adams7597131
Williamson6396119
Boone566480
Whiteside5458176
Clinton520887
Coles481286
Ogle474574
Knox4718148
Grundy457354
Effingham437273
Jackson432270
Henry413578
Marion4115113
Macoupin405698
Franklin396072
Livingston382871
Randolph380478
Monroe372071
Stephenson365477
Jefferson3579106
Woodford336570
Morgan333093
Logan319060
Montgomery317458
Lee315676
Bureau306885
Christian306779
Fayette297653
Perry280063
Iroquois264658
Fulton264550
Jersey231762
Lawrence220731
McDonough220051
Saline210155
Douglas206434
Union204732
Shelby202835
Crawford184937
Cass180131
Bond178926
Pike161448
Warren160545
Richland157846
Hancock156336
Wayne155643
Clark154634
Jo Daviess153425
Washington150426
Edgar149553
Carroll148333
White142433
Moultrie142028
Ford141251
Clay134941
Greene128943
Johnson126515
Wabash123215
Mason120241
Piatt119818
De Witt119629
Mercer119431
Cumberland112027
Massac107433
Jasper106815
Menard92410
Hamilton73317
Marshall71315
Schuyler65417
Brown62612
Pulaski6253
Stark50120
Edwards4859
Henderson47016
Calhoun4515
Scott4131
Alexander4078
Gallatin4024
Putnam3633
Hardin3139
Pope2583
Unassigned1130
Out of IL340

Indiana Coronavirus Cases

(Widget updates once daily at 8 p.m. ET)

Cases: 614946

Reported Deaths: 9807
CountyCasesDeaths
Marion849231342
Lake45784693
Allen33103560
Hamilton29752316
St. Joseph27572383
Elkhart24496346
Vanderburgh19679255
Tippecanoe18150144
Johnson15234296
Porter14970172
Hendricks14550253
Madison11071223
Clark10852145
Vigo10819185
Monroe9496115
Delaware9193136
LaPorte9173164
Howard8325148
Kosciusko811485
Warrick683399
Hancock6783106
Bartholomew6659100
Floyd6522113
Wayne6194164
Grant6050118
Dubois559081
Boone557968
Morgan551996
Henry512365
Marshall507884
Dearborn488745
Cass487864
Noble476159
Jackson428747
Shelby423381
Lawrence395180
Clinton375845
Gibson375560
Harrison354046
DeKalb351365
Montgomery349754
Knox337839
Miami325244
Steuben315846
Whitley313126
Wabash306951
Adams303636
Ripley301646
Putnam299152
Huntington295760
Jasper293035
White275943
Daviess271776
Jefferson267738
Decatur249983
Fayette249949
Greene242763
Posey241828
Wells237551
LaGrange230363
Scott227939
Clay225032
Randolph215848
Jennings200937
Spencer193622
Sullivan193633
Washington189023
Fountain185227
Starke177044
Jay168723
Owen168338
Fulton165430
Orange161035
Carroll160616
Rush156418
Perry156129
Vermillion150034
Franklin149933
Tipton134433
Parke13098
Pike118826
Blackford112023
Pulaski97937
Newton92621
Brown88835
Benton87110
Crawford8099
Martin75013
Warren6867
Switzerland6695
Union6297
Ohio4967
Unassigned0375