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Inside Politics: Midwest warning signs for Democrats?

This week's primaries in the Midwest test the waters for Democrats, the White House braces for a fight over President Trump's nominee to lead the CIA, Trump teases his upcoming historic meeting with Kim Jong Un, and Republicans face a fall spending fight and potential government shutdown--it's all on Inside Politics.

Posted: May 7, 2018 11:40 AM
Updated: May 7, 2018 11:45 AM

Here are the stories our D.C. insiders are talking about in this week's "Inside Politics" forecast, where you get a glimpse of tomorrow's headlines today.

1. Midwest warning signs for Democrats?

Congressional Democrats are full of optimism this year, and the short-term midterm outlook is pretty good, and maybe even great. But CNN's John King says there are some troubling signs beneath the surface.

"They are fools if they don't also recognize longer-term warning signs in white working class and rural America," King reports, after spending a few days last week in Indiana. "It was striking to me how many Republican candidates for local office introduced themselves as former longtime Democrats. It was a flashback to travels across the party-switching South back in the 1990s," King says.

"So when we tell you who won the House and who won the Senate come November, don't forget to take a look deeper down ballot to see if Democrats are improving their long-term prognosis and dealing with their giant bench problem."

2. Another budget fight looms

Congress is just a few months away from another spending fight -- and President Trump told supporters at an event in Cleveland on Saturday that he'll shut down the government if he doesn't get funding for his border wall. Time Magazine's Molly Ball says it's more than an idle threat.

"On the one hand, he sort of cried wolf in this manner many times before," she says.

But many Republicans are spoiling for a fight if they don't get what they want.

"The president is showing that he is well aware of that, and he has been listening to some of the Freedom Caucus members who are still full of angst over the last spending deal that they agreed to."

The current funding bill expires at the end of September.

3. Republican divisions over spending

In the meantime, some Republicans want to re-open the spending bill they already passed. CNN's Phil Mattingly reports that White House budget chief Mick Mulvaney and the number 2 House Republican, Kevin McCarthy, want to use a parliamentary maneuver that could let them eliminate spending without needing any Democratic support. Their plan has the president's support -- but may not have enough votes in Congress.

"They started with a very bold idea, $60 billion in cuts, really attacking that spending bill. That has been pared back in a major way." Mattingly says. Why? "They didn't think they could have the votes to get that through the Republican-led House."

Mattingly says the new number is about $11 billion -- but even that may not have enough support. And, Mattingly reports, House Speaker Paul Ryan and Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell aren't crazy about re-opening the spending bill in the first place.

4. Gina Haspel confirmation fight

President Trump's controversial nominee to run the CIA has her confirmation hearing this week -- and it's still not clear she can get 50 votes. Democrats and a few Republicans are concerned about some of her actions involving Bush-era torture policies.

The Washington Post's Josh Dawsey says it could still go either way. "The White House still thinks it can get some of the Democrats on board, but for President Trump and some of his top officials, having her confirmed would be a big win after the botched nomination of Ronny Jackson," Dawsey says. But the administration sees confirmation as anything but a sure thing.

5. Korean summit preps

President Trump told reporters on Friday that he's picked a time and a place for what would be a historic summit between an American president and the North Korean leader, Kim Jong Un. But he's not ready to share it quite yet.

"He's a master of the slow reveal, as we all know, so we haven't gotten all the details yet," reports Catherine Lucey of the Associated Press. "But he has previously given us some hints. He has suggested an interest in doing it in the de-militarized zone between the Koreas. He's also indicated it could be coming in late May, early June."

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Illinois Coronavirus Cases

(Widget updates once daily at 7 p.m. CT)

Cases: 1675793

Reported Deaths: 27960
CountyCasesDeaths
Cook63468311202
DuPage1081271376
Will912621126
Lake800101085
Kane68370871
Winnebago41041560
Madison40087596
St. Clair36272596
McHenry34708329
Champaign26998197
Peoria26928368
Sangamon25754285
McLean23012218
Tazewell20647330
Rock Island18854361
Kankakee17910248
Kendall16203113
Macon15305250
LaSalle15030287
Vermilion14371199
Adams13156152
DeKalb12152133
Williamson12054174
Whiteside8297183
Jackson808694
Boone794383
Coles7888124
Ogle756887
Grundy738086
Franklin7330115
Knox7286169
Clinton7124102
Macoupin6951105
Marion6918143
Henry663777
Effingham660299
Jefferson6550143
Livingston597698
Stephenson584592
Woodford576892
Randolph5553100
Christian533682
Fulton526976
Monroe5246103
Morgan5076100
Logan495074
Montgomery491681
Lee478660
Bureau442691
Saline433869
Perry433275
Fayette430664
Iroquois421577
McDonough373761
Shelby347748
Jersey335653
Lawrence332533
Crawford332430
Douglas327337
Union306548
Wayne304063
White279833
Richland279557
Hancock274135
Cass266230
Clark265740
Pike264558
Clay258754
Edgar258049
Bond256925
Warren244066
Ford243959
Carroll236438
Moultrie234533
Johnson228131
Wabash217319
Jo Daviess216029
Massac215550
Mason214252
Washington212228
De Witt205530
Greene205340
Mercer204336
Piatt201614
Cumberland190026
Menard172213
Jasper161221
Marshall141321
Hamilton134022
Schuyler107710
Brown106510
Edwards104018
Pulaski103911
Stark81628
Gallatin7878
Alexander71912
Scott7136
Henderson70314
Calhoun6922
Hardin60116
Putnam5654
Pope5526
Unassigned1702433
Out of IL160

Indiana Coronavirus Cases

(Widget updates once daily at 8 p.m. ET)

Cases: 1003647

Reported Deaths: 16423
CountyCasesDeaths
Marion1351072116
Lake661851159
Allen57674800
Hamilton46217464
St. Joseph44210611
Elkhart35807508
Vanderburgh32162480
Tippecanoe27859258
Johnson25007444
Hendricks23795357
Porter22856365
Madison18694408
Clark18505252
Vigo17393303
Monroe15218199
LaPorte15101250
Delaware15024261
Howard14681289
Kosciusko12260147
Hancock11682175
Bartholomew11548180
Warrick11270189
Floyd11059214
Wayne10946253
Grant10019219
Morgan9438176
Boone8891116
Dubois8249131
Dearborn819893
Henry8174152
Noble8003106
Marshall7891135
Cass7519121
Lawrence7433171
Shelby7171119
Jackson695889
Gibson6567115
Harrison646691
Huntington636899
Knox6360106
DeKalb628699
Montgomery6229109
Miami591498
Putnam577678
Clinton572171
Whitley563455
Steuben558976
Wabash5309103
Jasper527879
Jefferson509297
Ripley498686
Adams479775
Daviess4653114
Scott438473
Greene423596
Wells422588
Clay421360
White417364
Decatur4152102
Fayette405787
Jennings385961
Posey375844
Washington356150
LaGrange356078
Randolph343499
Spencer338743
Fountain333860
Sullivan327852
Starke315570
Owen313970
Fulton309167
Orange292663
Jay283445
Franklin265143
Perry264852
Rush260832
Carroll260633
Vermillion257254
Parke230426
Pike228443
Tipton227259
Blackford191841
Pulaski183157
Crawford159023
Newton156848
Benton150217
Brown145747
Martin138019
Switzerland134811
Warren120816
Union107016
Ohio84213
Unassigned0540